In accordance with clause 3.16.9. of the Market Rules, by the 15th day of each month, System Management must provide to the IMO and the IMO must publish the following information developed as a result of its Medium Term PASA study for each week in the Medium Term Planning horizon described in clause 3.16.2:

1. peak load forecasts for the following scenarios:
   1. mean;
   2. mean plus one standard deviation; and
   3. mean plus two standard deviations.
2. forecast total available generation capacity by constrained region;
3. forecast total available Demand Side Management capacity by week and by constrained region;
4. the amount equal to:
   1. the load forecast referred to in (a)(iii); minus
   2. the total forecast available generation capacity; minus
   3. the total available Demand Side Management capacity;
5. any weeks where there is expected to be a shortfall of capacity, including a shortfall of Ancillary Services or an inability to satisfy the Ready Reserve Standard;
6. transmission outages of which System Management is aware, forecast transmission capacity between potentially constrained regions, under normal conditions and some contingency scenarios, and any constraints that are likely under these scenarios;
7. possible security problems that could affect market or dispatch outcomes;
8. potential fuel supply, transport or storage limitations that could affect generation capacity of which System Management is aware;
9. the details of any use by System Management of its own data in place of data provided in accordance with clause 3.16.6, and the reasons why System Management’s data was substituted;
and
10. for each approved Commissioning Test the Facility to be tested and the dates and times during which the Commissioning:
11. System Management must compile a list of all equipment on the SWIS that is required to be subject to outage scheduling by System Management. The list must also include equipment for which System Management requires notice of partial outages or de-ratings.
12. System Management must review the list described in paragraph (k) from time to time and may update the list.

Refer to the MT PASA Report User Guide for assistance with interpreting the Medium Term PASA reports.

Links to the Medium Term PASA Reports appear below, ordered by report date. There is also a blank charting template in the form of an Excel spreadsheet to assist participants with interpreting the data.  You must copy the CSV file into the spreadsheet to get the correct chart.

List of Medium Term PASA Reports

This document is published in accordance with Market Rule 10.5.1 (n).